It’s no myth, it’s just the application of Islamic history to the modern
world; a rule of thumb. The origin, I believe, comes from Raymond Ibrahim, an
Arabic language specialist with an Egyptian heritage giving him insight into
Western and Middle Eastern world views.
His Rule of Numbers article can be found here: http://raymondibrahim.com/2013/05/28/islams-rule-of-numbers-and-the-london-beheading/ It relates to the
expulsion of Muhammad and his followers from Mecca to Medina in 622, sacralised
as ‘hijrah’, or migration. Its representation today is of Muslims migrating to
infidel lands following the Koranic exhortation, “Whoso migrateth for the cause
of Allah will find much refuge and abundance in the earth, and whoso forsaketh
his home, a fugitive unto Allah and His messenger, and death overtaketh him,
his reward is then incumbent on Allah. Allah is ever Forgiving, Merciful.”
(Koran 4-100, Pickthall tr.)
In what became known as the ‘Meccan period’ he acted peacefully and
cooperatively with the locals, building up converts to the religion he claimed
to have had revealed to him, but garnering the enemies who expelled him.
Once in Medina his attitude changed, as the Koran’s violent Medinan
verses show. “And slay them wherever ye find them, and drive them out of the
places whence they drove you out, for persecution is worse than slaughter.”
(2-191 ibid). He built up followers, forces and arms, then went on to conquer
Mecca. The verses from this time have the consequences today of observant
Muslims who are obliged to follow Muhammad’s model of behaviour and ‘striking
terror into the hearts of unbelievers.’ The role of migration, peaceful
behaviour and proselytising, then followed by violent conquest, have their
echoes in today’s world. In Arabic, these three processes are known as hijrah,
dawah, and jihad. Ibrahim’s hypothesis is to show how Islam conquers territory
where simple armed conflict is not a viable strategy.
The ‘Rule of Numbers’ has applications other than that Ibrahim
adumbrates. Democratic success comes from the appeal to a greater numerical
cohort. The 1960s and 70s Muslim immigrants were not political or particularly
religious, but formed a constituency that voted mainly for the Labour Party.
Muslims worked up the ranks and obtained positions in civic management,
councillors, mayor and MPs. Then, when oil-funded Saudis spread their
conservative form of Islam in the late 70s, they had an established electorate
clique. In succeeding years, migration has boomed, inflating Muslim proportions
in every country worldwide. Proselytising has had a remarkable effect,
particularly in its negative form, that of convincing host-country natives, the
media especially, that Muslims are peaceful not violent despite evidence to the
contrary; that critics of Islam misunderstand it, are ignorant right-wing
racist bigots despite evidence to the contrary; and that free speech, women’s
rights, Western history, morality and culture are negotiable conditions in the
Left-wing socio-political environment that imbues Western society today. In its
positive form, it purports to show that Islam’s rigid 7th century morality has
a place in the modern world where there’s no support for opposition; that
violence can be condemned even as Islamic influence grows; and that Islam is a
viable mode of governance for the West’s future despite evidence to the
contrary.
From this success, it can be seen that violence is not a necessary
condition of conquest and Muslims can condemn it, without needing to point out
that victory can be achieved by other means. All they need is numbers.
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